September 11, 2014

Ryder Cup Analysis and Best Bets

The Ryder Cup, one of the most exhilarating three days of the sporting calendar, will soon be upon on us and many jingoistic golf punters will be looking to pile their patriotic money on Europe as they bid for a third consecutive victory – but do the statistics make Europe the right

Match Odds

Europe 7/10 Draw 11/1 USA 15/8  (Check here for latest Golf Odds)

Important Statistics

  • Since the Ryder Cup took the format of USA vs Europe in 1979, Europe has won 9 matches, USA 7 matches, and there’s been 1 draw.
  • However, Europe has won the last 2 matches, 5 of the last 6 matches, and 8 of the last 9 matches.
  • 11 of those 17 matches were won by the home side.
  • Europe’s players have won 69, lost 42 and halved 18 of their combined matches.
  • USA’s players have won 43, lost 52 and halved 18 of their combined matches.
  • Europe’s Team contains 4 of the top 5 players in the official golf world rankings, however Team USA’s combined rankings add up to 196 whilst Europe’s add up to 231 (as of 9th September).
  • Europe’s Captain Paul McGinley has yet to lose a Ryder Cup match; winning 3 times as a player and twice as a Vice-Captain.
  • USA’s Captain Tom Watson has yet to lose a Ryder Cup match; captaining his side to victory in England in 1993 and winning 3 times and drawing once as a player.

Conclusion

Despite the USA having superior all-round world rankings and an equally impressive Captain,  Europe’s home advantage, recent dominance and superior player performances suggest they are the rightful favourites – so the head and the heart say a Europe win!

Europe Win 7/10

Players To Watch Out For

If the 7/10 Europe to win doesn’t appeal, then there are some great prices for picking top USA points-scorer, top European points-scorer and top combined points-scorer.

Top USA Points Scorer

Only Kuchar, Johnson, Bradley and Mahan can boast a better than 50% record, and of those four only Mahan can boast any worthwhile recent form after his victory in the Barclays. 4½ points from a possible 8 isn’t a bad haul and he looks overpriced at 12/1.

Hunter Mahan 12/1 each-way ¼ odds 1-3

Top European Points Scorer

Talismanic Ian Poulter has won an amazing 12 of his 15 matches but has had a poor year, and Martin Kaymer, who is steadily returning to form, can improve on his already impressive 3½ points out of 6.

Martin Kaymer 12/1 each-way ¼ odds 1-3

Top Combined Points Scorer

If you fancy a couple of even bigger-priced bets, then back Mahan (28/1) and Kaymer (20/1) to be top outright scorers.

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