February 13, 2014

Sassuolo v Napoli Betting Preview 16/02/14

It seems the arrival of new coach Malesani had a positive effect on Sassuolo. Last round away at Inter, Sassuolo left a good impression even if they were dominated for most of the game (lost 1-0).

Malesani switched to a defense in 3, and contrary to what everyone expected Sassuolo are more solid at the back. They manage to cover wider areas and the first line of defense is more concentrated, preventing opponents from finding many spaces.

Upfront Sassuolo have 3 genuine offensive players who look capable of exploiting on counters.

In comparison to last round hosts will miss winger Rosi due to suspension. He is a regular player but by no means indispensable.

Nowadays Napoli concede more than ever. In the last 4 rounds Napoli conceded 7 goals, that’s almost 2 goals per game, which is a pretty scary ratio for a team aspiring to Champions League football.

There are too many spaces and central midfielders seem overwhelmed and simply can’t cover for fellow defenders. Against Sassuolo it will be even more difficult as both central midfielders (the one who represent Napoli’s 1st line of defense) are out suspended (Inler and Jorginho). Winger Callejon is also suspended, but he is no major absence.

Napoli will have huge defensive problems against a team that seems to be picking up rythm. The odds on Napoli are simply laughable.

The value lies on Sassuolo. Hosts +1 (with money back if Sassuolo lose by 1 goal) at 1.85 from Bet365 is one of the best bets in Serie A this round.

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