Last round Werder were once again engaged in a high scoring game (4-4 away at Hoffenheim). Werder have one of the leakiest defense in Bundesliga, having conceded 1.92 goals per game.
Fullbacks often advance participating in the offensive phase and leaving many open spaces. Unfortunately for Werder they use only 1 pure blooded defensive midfielder, Makiadi who is very slow and almost always outrun by opponents.
The two central defenders Lukimya and Caldirola are just average players and quickly get overwhelmed.
Last round Werder welcomed back top-scorer Petersen, meaning hosts will resume with their usual offensive game, leaving many holes at the back.
There is no way for Werder to improve defensively against one of the best offenses in Bundesliga. The upcoming Champions League against Manchester City is no reason for Bayern to rotate squad, knowing that City needs a 3-0 victory in Munchen to secure the first place in the group… On the contrary, Bayern may concentrate mostly on this game, seeing it is an opportunity to increase the lead in the table (3rd placed Dortmund will host 2nd placed Leverkusen)
Even with winger Robben out (got injured in the midweek Cup game) there are still Ribery, Gotze, Muller, Mandzukic…how is that any better for Werder?
Lately Bayern’s central midfielders Javi Martinez and Alcantara create a solid wall in every single game. Even if Werder are offensively powerful they may not score against Bayern and their concentrated efforts upfront may do more harm.
If against an average Bundesliga team Werder concedes 1.92 goals per game that ratio will surely increase when playing against Bayern Munchen. Bayern -1.5 at 1.70 from Bet365 is a valuable bet that should pay without emotions.
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